DATE: Dec 23, 2014
TIME: 11:00 pm
Message sent on the basis of information received from:
- Kawartha Conservation Flood Forecasting Network
- Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry - Surface Water Monitoring Centre
- Environment Canada
As a low pressure system moves through Southern Ontario over the next few days, the Kawartha Conservation watershed will experience warmer air and precipitation that includes rain through midweek, turning to a snow-rain mix at the end of the week.
There is currently a high degree of uncertainty in the system’s track, as well as the amount and type of precipitation. It is expected that daytime temperatures will reach 5°C or higher on Wednesday, with about 15-20 mm of rain over the next 3 days. The snow cover measured at Ken Reid Conservation Area is up to 5 cm deep and contains 5 mm of water when melted, although less in more open areas. Less snow has been measured in the southern part of the Kawartha Conservation watershed.
Based on the latest weather forecast, any existing snow cover will start melting and combine with the rainfall to produce some increased runoff. No flooding is anticipated at this time, as water levels in local rivers and streams are seasonally low and expected to increase only moderately. Road ditches, low-lying areas, and areas with poor drainage may also experience water accumulation. Under these circumstances, all local rivers and streams will become fast-flowing and extremely dangerous. Riverbanks will be very slippery and unsafe.
Kawartha Conservation is warning all residents to stay away from water bodies, as well as water structures such as bridges, culverts, and dams. Children should be warned of dangerous conditions and caregivers should maintain a close watch on children who are outside.
This Watershed Conditions Statement-Water Safety will be in effect through Friday, December 26, 2014.
Kawartha Conservation will continue monitoring local watercourses and notify the public and municipalities within its watershed jurisdiction of any changes. If you are aware of or have concerns about flooding, please contact Kawartha Conservation at 705.328.2271 or 705.344.0142 after hours.