Current Flood Status
WATERSHED CONDITIONS STATEMENT - FLOOD OUTLOOK
DATE: February 23, 2017
TIME: 12:00 pm
Message sent on the basis of information received from:
- Kawartha Conservation Flood Forecasting Network
- Ministry of Natural Resources - Surface Water Monitoring Centre
- Environment Canada
- Trent-Severn Waterway
Unseasonably warm temperatures, up to 13°C, have been observed in southern Ontario including Kawartha Conservation watershed over the past few days. Weather forecasting agencies predict that the daytime temperatures will remain above the freezing mark for the next week, exceeding long-term average values. Furthermore, a low system pressure is predicted to move into southern Ontario later tonight, bringing up to 15 mm of rain on Friday, Feb 24th for the Kawartha watershed.
Under these weather conditions, existing snowpack within the watershed have started melting, currently producing low to moderate runoff. In response, water levels in local rivers and streams have increased moderately, with the majority of watercourses still staying within their banks. According to monitoring observations in our four snow stations, the ground underneath the snowpack is unfrozen. However, as upper levels become saturated, the soil moisture adsorbing capacity is diminishing.
With the forecast weather, local watercourses will continue to demonstrate higher and faster flows, in response to the runoff from the melting snowpack and expected precipitation. While no major flooding is anticipated at this time, water accumulation is likely in low-lying areas, road ditches, and areas with poor drainage. Rivers and streams may reach or exceed in some locations, their bankfull conditions.
Under these circumstances, all local rivers, streams, and lakes are extremely dangerous. Riverbanks are slippery and unsafe. Ice cover, where it exists, is becoming unstable and hazardous. Kawartha Conservation is warning all residents to stay away from water bodies, as well as water structures such as bridges, culverts, and dams. Children should be warned of dangerous conditions and caregivers should maintain a close watch on children who are outside.
Trent-Severn waterway official are monitoring this current situation closely and will be adjusting dam settings throughout the system when the situation warrants. Staff from the Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry are monitoring water levels of the Burnt and Gull rivers.
Municipalities are advised to monitor areas known for minor flooding and be prepared to respond to high water situations as they occur. Residents are advised to contact their municipalities should a flood threat develop. Local municipalities are first to respond to and assist with flood emergencies.
This Watershed Conditions Statement - Flood Outlook will be in effect until Monday, February 27th, 2017.
Kawartha Conservation will continue monitoring local watercourses and notify the public and municipalities within its watershed jurisdiction of any changes. If you are aware of or have concerns about flooding, please contact Kawartha Conservation at 705.328.2271 or 705.344.0155 after hours.
Iryna Shulyarenko Dave Pridham
Hydrologist Manager, Environmental & Technical Services
Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook is an early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.