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flooding, water over the road
  • Environment Canada is forecasting mild weather and persistent rain for southern Ontario, including the Kawartha Conservation watershed, starting Monday afternoon into Wednesday. Between the start of rain on Monday afternoon to the tapering off precipitation as the system moves out of the area on Wednesday, accumulated rain amounts could reach over 45 mm for the watershed area.


    DATE:                   February 18, 2018

    TIME:                   12:00 p.m.

    Message sent on the basis of information received from:

        Kawartha Conservation Flood Forecasting Network
        Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry – Surface Water Monitoring Centre
        Environment Canada

    Environment Canada is forecasting mild weather and persistent rain for southern Ontario, including the Kawartha Conservation watershed, starting Monday afternoon into Wednesday. Between the start of rain on Monday afternoon to the tapering off precipitation as the system moves out of the area on Wednesday, accumulated rain amounts could reach over 45 mm for the watershed area.

    Temperatures are expected to climb above freezing on Monday and peak on Tuesday when the daytime high could reach 11°C within the Kawartha Lakes region. Overnight lows are predicted to remain above freezing for the entire three-day period. It is estimated that the accumulated snowpack could melt entirely by Wednesday morning, contributing to the run off from rain. Up to 40 mm of water equivalent is present in the existing snowpack within the watershed as determined by the snow survey of Feb 15th.

    At this time, rivers and streams within the Kawartha Conservation watershed are flowing in the normal range for this time of year. A majority of the watercourses are frozen.

    Forecast precipitation and associated snowmelt will produce significant run off and high water levels and velocities in local watercourses. Ice breakup due to rapid increase of water flows, along with the potential for ice jam formation and related flooding on some watercourses can be expected. It is anticipated that water accumulation will occur in low-lying areas, road ditches, and areas with poor drainage. Rivers and streams may reach or exceed in some locations, their bankfull conditions. Smaller steams will react fast, while it takes longer for larger watercourses to respond.

    Under expected watershed conditions all local rivers, streams, and lakes should be considered extremely dangerous. Riverbanks are slippery and unsafe; ice cover may become unstable and hazardous. Kawartha Conservation is warning all residents to stay away from water bodies, as well as water structures such as bridges, culverts, and dams. Children should be warned of dangerous conditions and caregivers should maintain a close watch on children who are outside.

    Municipalities are advised to monitor areas known for minor flooding and be prepared to respond to high water situations as they occur. Residents are advised to contact their municipalities should a flood threat develop. Local municipalities are first to respond to and assist with flood emergencies.

    This Watershed Conditions Statement-Flood Outlook will be in effect through Wednesday, Feb 21st, 2018.

    Kawartha Conservation will continue monitoring local watercourses and notify the public and municipalities within its watershed jurisdiction of any changes. If you are aware of or have concerns about flooding, please contact Kawartha Conservation at 705.328.2271 or 705.344.0155 after hours.

    Iryna Shulyarenko                                                                         Dave Pridham

    Hydrologist                                                                                   Manager, Technical Services

  • Status Levels
  • Emergency Contacts
  • Useful Links
  • About the Program
  • Previous Messages

Flood messages and what they mean

Kawartha Conservation monitors weather information and watershed conditions, including precipitation amounts, river flows, and the snow pack, to predict when floods will occur and how high the water may rise. When flooding is possible, or about to occur, we issue flood messages to municipal emergency management officials, the media, and post messages here on our website. You can also receive flood messages by email.

Flood Forecast - Normal

Generally indicates that no flood conditions exist. It should be noted that during Normal conditions, the inherent risk to personal safety associated with flowing water still exists.

Watershed Conditions Statement - Water Safety

High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice, or other factors that could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected.

Watershed Conditions Statement - Flood Outlook

Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding, or erosion.

Flood Watch

 Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services, and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.

Flood Warning

Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities.

Emergency Contacts

For assistance in the event of a flood, call your municipal emergency contact.

Municipal emergency contacts

City of Kawartha Lakes, Fire and Rescue Department
After hours: 1.877.885.7337

Regional Municipality of Durham, Emergency Management Office

Township of Scugog, Fire Department

Township of Brock
After hours: 1.877.559.4887

Township of Cavan Monaghan, Fire Chief/Protective Service

Municipality of Trent Lakes
705.738.3800 or 1.800.374.4009

Municipality of Clarington, Emergency Dispatch Centre

Minden Area office (contact for Burnt and Gull River residents)
Primary flood contact, Kris Windover, 705.286.5207

To report flooding to Kawartha Conservation, please contact:

Iryna Shulyarenko
Office number: 705.328.2271 ext. 219
After-hours: 705.344.0155

Alternate Contact
Dave Pridham

Office number: 705.328.2271 ext. 221
After-hours: 705.344.0142

About the Flood Forecasting and Warning Program

Conservation authorities, in cooperation with local municipalities and the province, play a significant role in the protection of life and property from natural hazards such as flooding. In Ontario, conservation authorities, the Ministry of Natural Resources, and Environment Canada are responsible for forecasting where and when flooding is likely to occur and issuing appropriate messages.

Advance warning of an impending flood allows municipalities and other government agencies to put emergency response plans into operation, and if necessary, evacuate communities. As well, early notification to the public of developing or ongoing unsafe river and lake conditions allows individuals to take precautions.

To help fulfill our responsibilities, we do the following:

  • Maintain a flood forecasting and warning program to provide member municipalities, agencies, and communities with an opportunity to take the necessary precautions and to have emergency response teams ready when they are needed. This involves predicting flows and water levels within our watershed and issuing flood messages .
  • Support coordinated flood emergency planning. Municipalities are the first responders to flood emergencies. We provide advice to municipalities for the preparation of flood contingency plans and during the emergency response process.
  • Coordinate responses to flooding. At all times, a liaison is maintained between Kawartha Conservation and the designated municipal and provincial flood response coordinators. This liaison may also be involved with declaring a provincial emergency and securing provincial resources.

Related links:

Kawartha Conservation monitoring and flood forecasting network

Our water level monitoring network consists of water level gauges, precipitation gauges, and snow courses. For weather monitoring, we use information from our own gauges, the Ministry of Natural Resources, and other other sources.

Chart of the flood forecast monitoring network

Current Weather

Kawartha Lakes, ON
Humidity: 81%
17 kph

Be Prepared

Take steps today to protect yourself, and your family or business, in the event of a flood or other emergency. Visit the following pages for more information:


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